Monthly Pricing - 01/02/2019

Brent Crude prices rose over 15% in January to $61.40/bbl, following OPEC+ production cuts coming into place and strong Russian compliance with the agreement.

GBP made gains vs USD throughout the month, reaching a high of 1.317. However, the EU’s refusal to re-open Brexit negotiations saw the pair drop off by month-end.

US placed sanctions on Venezuela’s PdV, blocking exports of crude to the US (currently 500kbpd) and diluent imports from the US to dilute Venezuela’s heavy crude.

Price Drivers

Supply Canada’s largest oil firm hit record production levels. Norwegian production expected to fall to 30yr low.
Demand Chinese Q4 GDP growth slowest in 28 years. EIA reported an 8mbpd crude build, a 2 month high.
Geo-Political China implemented ‘exit bans’ on US citizens. Iran look to bypass sanctions with UK, FR & DE help.