Monthly Pricing - 01/01/2019

A further fall in equities continued Brent’s downward trend, closing December 15% lower than it started the month despite OPEC+ production cuts being announced.

December was another turbulent month for GBP on the back of Brexit headlines and year end economic data, dropping below 1.248 vs USD but recovering to 1.270.

Rystad Energy reports that 2018 has been the best year for oil exploration since 2015, with an estimation of 9.4 billion barrels discovered.

Price Drivers

Supply US becomes net oil exporter for 1st time in 75 years. OPEC+ announce 1.2 mbpd production cut.
Demand India’s oil imports down 11% for Nov vs Oct. 2018 worst year since 2008 for multiple stock indices.
Geo-Political US defence secretary resigns over Syria withdrawal. May survives no-confidence vote after Brexit deal.