Monthly Pricing - 01/07/2020

Brent crude prices recovered above $40/bbl in June, reaching a high of $43.50/bbl after OPEC+ agreed to extend its output cut for a further month to support the market.

After reaching a high of 1.275 mid-month, GBP declined to 1.230 against USD in June as a result of economic uncertainty and a lack of progress in Brexit trade negotiations.

Fears of a second coronavirus peak following an increase in cases across Asia and the Americas sparked uncertainty over demand recovery during the second half of June.

Price Drivers

Supply Iraq pledges additional cuts to offset non-compliance. IEA report 89% OPEC+ output reduction compliance.
Demand IEA expects demand will not reach pre-C19 levels until 2022. US crude stocks increased in three out of four weeks in June.
Geo-Political Libyan oil blockade lifted for 24hrs before resuming. US sanctions Iranian ships importing to Venezuela.