Monthly Pricing - 01/03/2021

Brent crude prices rose by $12/bbl during February to reach a 13-month high of $67/bbl, as vaccination rollouts and increased spending encouraged demand recovery.

GBP reached a 34-month high of 1.42 against USD as the UK’s vaccination programme surpassed 18.5m doses and the government announced its plan to end restrictions.

Shell’s Deer Park Refinery and Total’s Port Arthur Refinery have warned it may take weeks to repair damage caused by adverse weather in Texas, after shutting in February.

Price Drivers

Supply ‘Big freeze’ in Texas reduced US output by 4mbpd. Iran reduced output by 250kbpd vs January figures.
Demand EIA reported consecutive 6.6m and 7.3m bbl US drawdowns. China has increased its strategic reserve capacity to 120 days.
Geo-Political EU vaccination rollout suffers supply delays. Biden administration sanctions air strikes in Syria.