Monthly Pricing - 02/11/2020

After rising to $43.00/bbl in early October, Brent crude dropped to $37.50/bbl by month-end, the lowest level since May, due to a second Covid-19 wave damaging demand.

GBP was unsettled against USD in October due to uncertainty over progress in UK/EU Brexit negotiations, trading between 1.282 – 1.316, before ending the month at 1.294.

Oil majors including BP, Exxon, Chevron and Canada’s Cenovus Energy each announced job cuts and refinery closures in October as the market outlook remains bleak.

Price Drivers

Supply OPEC output up 210kbpd due to Libyan production. Storms continue in US Gulf, causing further closures.
Demand 4.3mbbl weekly rise in US crude stocks, highest since July. BP fears demand may never recover to pre-coronavirus level.
Geo-Political UK Special Force intervention after oil tanker ‘hijack’. C. 40k oil and gas industry jobs lost so far this year.